The UK government has announced a new earned settlement scheme policy that tightens access to permanent status (ILR) across three areas — criminal record, public debt and immigration breaches — though the exact wording will only appear once the Immigration Rules themselves are published.

In short

  • Only the policy has been published, not the text of the Immigration Rules — exact thresholds will come later.
  • Under the policy wording, an adult applicant with a UK conviction will be refused settlement.
  • Outstanding debt to the NHS, tax authorities or the Home Office makes it impossible to apply for settlement.
  • Overstaying, deception or false information in an application moves the applicant onto a 20-year path instead of the 10-year one.
  • Transitional arrangements for those already on a path to settlement have not yet been defined.

What the new policy is and why it matters

The first part of the new policy announced by the UK Home Secretary concerns an applicant’s character. The first criterion listed under this heading is criminality — the description of the new requirements opens with it.

The changes belong to the earned settlement scheme — the official name for the overhaul of settlement conditions. So far only the wording of the policy itself is known, not the text of the future Immigration Rules: policy language is always broad and general, while rules language is meant to be precise and unambiguous. That distinction matters: according to those responsible for the reform, specific thresholds, categories and exemptions will only appear once the policy provisions are turned into rules text. Until then, many statements — including the criminality threshold — remain statements of intent rather than finished rules ready to be applied.

Policy vs rules

Only the broad wording of the new character scheme has been announced. Precise thresholds, categories and exemptions will only appear in the text of the Immigration Rules — for now this is a statement of intent.

Criminal record: a tougher criminality threshold

The government intends to significantly tighten the criminality threshold for settlement. The policy wording reads: any adult applicant with a UK conviction will be refused settlement. This is a very broad formulation, and the exact text of the Immigration Rules is not yet known.

any adult applicant with a UK conviction will be refused settlement

The choice of words matters here. If the rules say “will be refused,” that is a mandatory instruction: the application must be rejected, with no room for discretion. If they say “may be refused,” the decision-maker retains an element of discretion. Based on the policy wording released so far, refusal for an applicant with a conviction is framed as mandatory — but until the Immigration Rules themselves are published, there is no way to know whether this wording will survive unchanged.

Of some concern, according to discussion around the policy, is that the new definition of a criminal record may include not only imprisonment and suspended sentences but also court-imposed fines and civil orders — though this has not yet been confirmed by the official rules text. That wording could potentially sweep in individual road traffic offences where a court imposed a fine — for example, driving without insurance or using a phone while driving. It would be surprising if such a minor offence were treated on a par with a conviction for a violent crime, but without the official rules wording this cannot be ruled out.

Foreign convictions are discussed separately: according to the wording released so far, for convictions handed down under foreign legal systems, including conduct criminalised abroad, an element of discretion may be retained, although the exact mechanism has not yet been confirmed by the official rules text. A foreign conviction does not automatically become a shield — but it is also not automatically treated as equivalent to a UK conviction.

The announcement does not specify how long a refusal on grounds of a conviction remains in effect: it is unclear whether this means refusal for a set period or indefinitely.

A broad definition of a conviction

The definition of a conviction may come to include not just prison and suspended sentences but also court fines and civil orders — potentially even for traffic offences such as driving without insurance.

Public debt: a condition for applying for settlement

The second condition of the new scheme is having no outstanding public debt at the time of the settlement application. According to the policy wording released so far, public debt is expected to cover debt owed to the NHS, unpaid tax and National Insurance contributions, and debt owed to the Home Office arising from legal proceedings — for example, following a judicial review of a Home Office decision.

If an applicant cannot clear a debt immediately, there is provision to agree a repayment plan — with the Home Office, another government body, or the NHS. One example raised in discussion of the policy: where the debt is significant, the parties may agree to pay it off in instalments rather than as a lump sum.

However, uncertainty remains for cases where the repayment plan stretches over years. One scenario under discussion is a repayment plan spread over a long period, where the applicant has not fully settled the debt by the time they become eligible for settlement — in that case, under the interpretation released so far, the application could not be submitted. The exact mechanism behind this restriction has not yet been set out.

Full clarity on the public debt conditions will only come once the written text of the Immigration Rules is published.

A criminal conviction as grounds for refusal of permanent status under new Home Office rules
Debt repayment plan

If a public debt cannot be cleared at once, it is possible to agree a repayment plan with the Home Office, another body, or the NHS — but if the payments stretch beyond the point of eligibility for settlement, the application may not be possible.

Immigration breaches: a 20-year path to settlement

The third condition of the new scheme concerns immigration breaches. If an applicant has committed a breach listed under the scheme, they are moved onto a 20-year path to settlement (Part 2 settlement) — regardless of high income or other positive contributions that would normally shorten this period to 10 years.

If an applicant has committed a breach listed under the scheme, they are moved onto a 20-year path to settlement (Part 2 settlement) — regardless of high income or other positive contributions

The new scheme classes the following as immigration breaches:

  • overstaying a visa;
  • deception;
  • submitting applications with false information;
  • other breaches of the law.

This marks a reversal of an earlier relaxation: previously, in citizenship applications, a past instance of overstaying did not automatically result in refusal. The new policy turns that approach 180 degrees — a past overstay or breach of any visa condition now, based on the wording released, leads onto the 20-year path to settlement.

An open question concerns transitional arrangements — how the new rules will affect people already on a path to settlement. Some applicants on the family route have already completed 3–4 years of the required 10; some who already hold Part 2 settlement have 6–7 years of residence behind them with an episode of overstaying in their history. Whether these people will remain under the previous conditions or be moved onto the 20-year path will only become clear once the law is published in writing: policy wording is broader, while the text of the law is usually significantly more precise.

A precedent: overstaying, children and a 180-degree policy reversal

A telling example concerns people who previously overstayed their permitted period in the UK and then obtained a visa through the family route — because their children had lived in the UK for seven years and became “qualifying children” for the parent route. Most such applicants have an overstay on record, but that did not previously stop them from continuing along the family route.

The citizenship rules were previously amended in a similar way: even with an overstay on record, an applicant could still be granted citizenship. The new character policy turns that approach 180 degrees — now a past overstay means settlement is not granted, and the applicant is instead moved onto the 20-year path rather than the standard one.

A separate question concerns transitional arrangements for those already in the process of obtaining settlement via the parent route: some such applicants have lived in the country for only 3–4 years, and their ten-year period has not yet run out. How exactly the new rule will affect those who have already accumulated six to seven years with an overstay episode in their history — whether they will fall under the 20-year path — remains unclear: the text of the immigration law itself, with its precise wording, has not yet been published.

A 20-year path to settlement following a breach of UK immigration rules

Attempts to frustrate immigration control and sham applications

A separate ground for refusal under the new scheme is taking action to frustrate immigration controls. The policy wording is broad, and this is precisely the point expected to generate legal disputes — it remains unclear which specific actions will fall under this ground once it is set out in precise legal wording in the Immigration Rules.

One scenario already generating disputes in the courts involves asylum applications. The Home Office may ask: why did the applicant submit an asylum claim, then withdraw it and submit a different application. In such cases, the applicant will have to prove that both applications were genuine — submitted with a real intention, rather than to confuse or delay the control process.

the applicant will have to prove that both applications were genuine

The practical takeaway follows from this: only submit applications that reflect genuine grounds, and do not use withdrawing or switching applications as a way to frustrate immigration control.

Avoid manipulating applications

Only submit applications with genuine grounds: withdrawing and resubmitting can be seen as an attempt to frustrate immigration control, and that will then need to be disproved.

Bottom line: the three components of character under the new scheme

Under the new scheme, assessment of an applicant’s character rests on three components: criminal record, public debt, and immigration breaches. Each of these three can result in refusal of settlement or being moved onto the 20-year path to status.

So far only the policy wording has been published, not the text of the Immigration Rules themselves — and these are different things. Policy language is traditionally broad; rules language is far more precise and specific. That is why, on a number of questions — including whether refusal of settlement will be mandatory for life or whether an element of discretion will appear in the rules — precision will only arrive once the rules wording itself is published.

Three components of character under the new scheme

Each of the three points can lead to refusal of settlement or being moved onto the 20-year path.

  • Criminal recordIncluding fines and civil orders
  • Public debtNHS, tax, National Insurance, Home Office debts
  • Immigration breachesOverstaying, deception, false information

Frequently asked questions

What happens to people already on a path to settlement who have accumulated several years with an overstay episode in their history?

This remains an open question: transitional arrangements have not been announced. Some applicants on the family route have completed 3–4 of the required 10 years; some with Part 2 settlement already have 6–7 years with an overstay episode. Whether they will remain under the previous conditions or be moved onto the 20-year path will only become known once the text of the Immigration Rules is published.

What happens if no repayment plan is agreed for a public debt at all?

The announcement does not address this scenario separately — it is only known that without a repayment plan, an applicant with outstanding debt to the NHS, tax authorities or the Home Office will not be able to apply for settlement. Agreeing a repayment plan is the only option mentioned for continuing on the path to settlement while a debt remains outstanding.